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Saturday 3 May 2014

Bottled Water in Azerbaijan


Bottled Water


Headlines

·         In 2008, sales increase by 18% in total current value terms and 8% in total volume terms, to reach AZN84 million and 76 million litres
·         Tap water shortages and poor quality drinking water in much of Baku positively impacts the demand for bottled water in 2008
·         Flavoured bottled water registers the highest sales growth in 2008: by 12% in total volume terms and 27% in total current value terms
·         Total value growth is almost two and half times faster than total volume growth in 2008, due to the high inflation rate in Azerbaijan
·         Although bottled water is mainly controlled by local brands, Turkish still, carbonated and flavoured bottled water penetrates further in 2008
·         Over the forecast period, bottled water is expected to increase by a 5% total volume CAGR and by a 7% total constant value CAGR

Trends

·         In 2008, bottled water developed further due to increased consumption for drinking and cooking purposes. As a result of ongoing construction projects in Baku in the form of bridges, underground water pipeline changes, and the reconstruction of motorways and main roads, the population suffered tap water shortages. Therefore, the lack of tap water was a significant problem in Baku and surrounding areas. This boosted the demand for bottled water, especially 2- and 5-litre containers.
·         Compared to the 6% total volume CAGR over the review period, sales grew faster in 2008, due to the increased consumption of still bottled water, especially in 5-litre containers. Moreover, the increased interest in flavoured bottled water, such as the Turkkizilayi, Sok, and Nigde Gazozu brands boosted the growth of this category.
·         In addition to increased consumption, boosted by the rising consumer need for purified water, Mars Overseas Baku Ltd TSAZ introduced Aquafina Sparkling Lemon and Aquafina Sparkling Mandarin flavoured bottled water, which stimulated interest and sales growth.
·         In 2008, the off-trade channel accounted for a 74% share of total volume sales, following a 10% increase in sales. 5-litre containers of still bottled water, which had previously been sold only in supermarkets, became available through independent small grocers and other grocery retailers. In addition, small 200-250ml glass bottles of flavoured bottled water widely entered the country. Customers have become more demanding about the quality and health benefits of bottled water.
·         In 2008, the on-trade channel grew by 3% in volume sales terms. This growth was mainly derived from the development of restaurants, cafés/bars, pubs, and wedding houses. In the on-trade channel, the bottled water assortment generally consists of leading brands such as Bonaqua and Aqua Vita, in both still, and carbonated formats. However, Zolotaya Mineralka (Essentukskiy Pivzavod OOO), Sirab (Babek Sirab Ltd), and Borjomi (GG & MW) carbonated bottled water and the newly-launched Turkkizilayi flavoured bottled water brand by Kizilay Turkiye Dernegi also feature strongly in full-service restaurants.
·         Fountain on-trade volume sales of bottled water continued to expand, growing by 14% in 2008 to reach one million litres. The main distribution of fountain sales of bottled water is bakeries, the Chudo Pechka bakery chain and some small stores and street vendors. Bottled water fountain sales attract consumers who prefer to drink plain water without the addition of syrup.
·         In bottled water, retail value growth outpaced retail volume growth in 2008. In current value terms, the average unit price increased by 9% in total value terms, by 15% in off-trade value terms and by 8% in on-trade value terms.
·         The consumers of bottled water in Azerbaijan are not limited by age or socioeconomic group. All types of consumers drink bottled water. Some more affluent consumers use still bottled water all year round to make soup or other liquid meals due to the lack of purified potable water.
·         Bottled water is most commonly consumed during the summer, between May and October. Therefore, sales are high during these months. In urban areas, consumption is generally high, whereas in rural areas, due to the abundance of natural springs and water wells, sales are low compared to big cities.
·         In general, bottled water refill stations, where consumers take usually 10- and 20-litre containers to be filled, had a negligible presence in Azerbaijan. However, specially assigned officials from companies, such as Aqua Vita-TAC, and Shollar, depending which company a dispenser’s owner has signed a contract with, come to the office, take the empty container and fix a replacement onto the water distiller.
·         The standard pack type/sizes for home and on-the-go purchases are 0.5-litre, 1-litre and 1.5-litre PET bottles. Smaller plastic and glass bottles are convenient for on-the-go consumption. 1.5-litre, 2-litre and 5-litre plastic bottles of still products are the preferred choice for home cooking, however, such packaging is affordable to higher-income consumers only. Recent trends demonstrate that most urban educated consumers view bottled water as a “healthier” alternative to other soft drinks, especially carbonates.

Competitive Landscape

·         Aqua Vita-TAC (Aqua, Aqua Vita, Aqua Minerale, and Shaghdag brands) was the leading player in 2008 with a 21% share of off-trade volume sales. The company’s leading position is mainly attributable to constant advertising campaigns to support its main brands. Moreover, Aqua Vita has long been recognised by consumers as a quality producer. Bonaqua (Baku Coca-Cola Bottlers Ltd) was the leading brand in 2008 with a 19% share of off-trade volume sales. This brand also benefits from high recognition from consumers over many years.
·         Nestle registered the largest increase, sales in volume terms, by some 50%, however this was from a low base amongst the larger players Mars saw the fastest growth with 33% in 2008.
·         This growth was largely due to the Aqua Sparkling flavours launched by the company in flavoured bottled water at the end of 2007. Aquafina Sparkling Lemon and Aquafina Sparkling Mandarin quickly became favourites among children and teenagers and young adults. The biggest sales decreases were experienced by Khayal Holding and Premium Springs OOO.
·         Bottled water in Azerbaijan remained largely dominated by domestic manufacturers, which accounted for almost a 60% share of off-trade volume sales. Among the key domestic manufacturers are Aqua Vita-TAC,  Babek Sirab Ltd, Badamli Mineral Sular Zavodu.  Major internationals with local production include Mars Overseas Baku Ltd TSAZ and Baku Coca-Cola Bottlers Ltd. The main international manufacturers are Turkish, Russian, Georgian, Ukrainian companies. Other imported bottled water brands such as Vittel, Volvic, S Pellegrino, Perrier, and Schweppes, recorded relatively low sales in Azerbaijan despite the rising popularity of these brands. They are less competitive in terms of price compared to the most popular domestic brands, which account for the majority of shares.
·         The key new product launches in 2008 were recorded by Mars’s Aquafina Sparkling brand. In addition, flavoured bottled water experienced the inflow of new brands, which had an important impact on the category. The new flavoured bottled water brands are: Turkkizilayi (Kizilay Turkiye Dernegi), Sok (Migros Turk AS), and Nigde Gazozu (Nigde Mesrubat ve Gida San Tic Ltd Sti). The main still bottled water launch concerned Damla (Damla Ltd MMC), which offered plastic bottles in various sizes on entry. Carbonated bottled water also welcomed new brands and products: Zanavi (Borjomi produkt OOO); Alasehir Sarikiz (Ciftci kardesler Gida Ins Pet Oto Nak Taah San); and Essentuki (Essentuksky Zavod Mineralnykh Vod OAO). Alasehir Sarikiz was distributed through both the off- and on-trade channels.
·         Overall, the advertising of bottled water was very limited. The only brands advertised on TV in 2008 were Aqua and Shaghdag (Aqua Vita-TAC) and Borjomi (GG & MW).
·         Bottled water packaging did not experience noteworthy development at the end of the review period. Plastic and glass bottles remained the only pack types used. 0.5-litre, 1-litre, 1.5-litre, 2-litre PET packaging led, followed by glass bottle versions. Moreover, more local manufacturers, especially established ones, offered still bottled water in 5- and 10-litre containers alongside existing small and medium-sized bottles. However, the majority of imported brands, mainly from Russia and Turkey, are packed in glass bottles.
·         Standard brands are the most competitive since they are widely available and satisfy consumers through a good price and quality balance. The average purchaser chooses standard brands, as there is little trust in the water source of the cheapest brands. Premium brands are normally distributed through supermarkets. The key consumers of premium brands are mainly affluent locals, short-term visitors or long-stay foreigners. In general, price, quality, the origins of the water source, label image and packaging design remained the main competitive tools among premium, standard and economy brands.

Prospects

·         The domestic manufacture of flavoured carbonated bottled water, which occurred at the end of the review period, is predicted to trigger the further development of and demand for flavoured bottled water by foreign producers, mainly Turkish companies.
·         The 2008 forecast on the development of flavoured bottled water was partially justified. However, the domestic production of flavoured carbonated bottled water stabilised unit prices, which boosted volume sales.
·         Compared to the review period, total volume sales are expected to register slightly slower growth over the forecast period. The main reason for the predicted slowdown is the increasing maturity of bottled water in Azerbaijan. However, the consumer base will continue to expand over the forecast period, due to the growing health concerns of Azerbaijan consumers and improving standards of living.
·         No potential threats to forecast growth are expected over the forecast period. In general, bottled water will register strong volume and value sales growth, largely due to the developing health and wellness trend.
·         Flavoured bottled water is expected to grow by a 14% total volume CAGR over the forecast period. This product type will enjoy higher demand, as it offers a combination of plain water with fruit flavours. This will stimulate the demand from consumers looking for interesting and healthier beverages.
·         The competitive landscape will intensify through the launch of new bottled water enriched with vitamins, minerals, and fruit flavours. The appearance of new brands positioned in the mid-priced segment will balance price movements, providing strong conditions for discounting and price competition.
·         The new products launched in 2007-2008 are expected to perform well in the short term. The prospects for the new Aquafina Sparkling products, in lemon and mandarin flavours, are quite promising. All new launches of flavoured bottled water will remain popular throughout the forecast period. Damla is expected to maintain its presence in still bottled water over the long term, since the brand is appealing and it offers plastic bottles in various sizes with an attractive bottle design. In response, other manufacturers are likely to introduce more brands/products, stimulating the interest of consumers through products enriched with minerals and vitamins or new bottle designs.
·         In 2008, direct selling off-trade volume sales reached nine million litres. Although the prospects for direct selling are quite promising, sales of smaller bottled water products are likely to be higher, since they are bought both for family and individual on-the-go consumption.
·         Over the forecast period, there is no company activity expected in bottled water.