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Saturday 26 April 2014

Wine Market India


Wine MARKET in India



Headlines

·         Total volume grows by 35% from 2007 to reach sales of 11 million litres in 2008
·         Domestic wine companies thrive with low-cost brands
·         Still light grape wine posts fastest growth, with total volume sales up by 36% in 2008
·         Unit prices see a marginal drop in 2008
·         Competition intensifies with the entry of leading spirits players and mushrooming of small wineries
·         28% total volume CAGR expected over forecast period


Trends

·         Domestic wine manufacturers increased their sales towards the end of the review period, by increasing brand awareness of their economically-priced brands and expanding off-trade distribution coverage all over India. These included leading players such as Champagne Indage as well as smaller boutique wineries. Sales were driven by the widespread availability of domestic low-cost wine and the higher visibility of wine due to the mushrooming of wine bars, wine shops and wine tourism. Economy brands such as Zinzi and Vino Sparkling encouraged trials and more frequent wine consumption, driving up volume sales.
·         In Maharashtra, the state with the largest proportion of national wine sales, excise duty on imported wine was increased from 150% to 200% of the declared cost of each bottle from November 2007 onwards. This made imported wines sold through off-trade channels prohibitively expensive and domestic wine was heavily favoured in off-trade outlets.
·         The total volume growth rate seen in 2008 was two percentage points higher than the review period CAGR. This was attributed to the success of low-cost domestic wine and the establishment of spirits players’ brands. Spirits players, especially United Spirits, used their extensive distribution networks and large marketing budgets to push their newly launched wine brands. Their successful brand launches meanwhile had a trickle-down effect, drawing the attention of the masses towards wine drinking. New launches such as Kingfisher Bohemia and Nilaya successfully attracted new wine drinkers, with their appealing positioning as fuss-free wines without the usual formalities associated with wine drinking. The availability of wine in supermarkets/hypermarkets and food courts in malls also increased the accessibility and visibility of wine.
·         Still light grape wine continued to lead sales growth in 2008. Growth was spurred by campaigns promoting food pairings with red and white wine and the easy availability of affordable still light grape wine for regular consumption, as well as premium variants for special occasions. Wine-and-food pairing sessions combining Indian food with red and white wine were organised by several domestic and international brands, including Nilaya and Chantilli.
·         Comparatively, awareness about sparkling wine remains low. No particular type of cuisine is associated with sparkling wine for everyday consumption and, due to higher price points, it continues to be seen as a niche celebratory wine. Moreover, still light grape wine is widely available across all price points both off-trade and on-trade, whereas there are fewer sparkling wine brands and the availability of most brands is restricted to premium on-trade outlets. The popularity of fuss-free everyday wine also favoured the growth of still light grape wine over sparkling wine.
·         Off-trade unit price showed a marginal decline in 2008 over the previous year. This occurred as sales were driven by affordably-priced brands and off-trade promotions such as buy-one-get-one-free. Low-cost wine boosted wine volume sales by attracting new wine consumers. Premium wine is mainly sold through premium on-trade outlets, such as five-star hotels, where the clientele is more discerning about wine.
·         On-trade unit price also showed a decline in 2008 over the previous year. This was due to a marginal reduction in wine prices in hotels, due to government pressure on hotels and restaurants to pass on their benefit of purchasing wine duty free to the consumer. The increased sale of economy and semi-premium wines in on-trade outlets in second tier cities such as Chandigarh and Pune and in semi-premium on-trade outlets also contributed to the marginal decline in on-trade unit price.
·         “Other” sparkling wine sales received a fillip in 2008 due to the success of low-cost domestic brands. Champagne Indage’s Vino Sparkling was launched across India by late-2007 and Samant Soma’s Dia was launched in February 2008. These generated much interest due to their affordable positioning and convenient packaging. Both are packaged in bottles with screw caps, while Vino is offered in 375ml bottles. At Rs55 for 375ml and Rs180 for 750ml, Vino Sparkling and Dia are priced lower than the unit price for “other” sparkling wine. These brands are positioned at price points in direct competition with beer and RTDs/high-strength premixes and generated widespread interest as well as high volume sales.
·         Off-trade sales led volume growth in 2008 over the previous year. This occurred as leading domestic players such as Samant Soma increased the depth and width of their off-trade distribution chains and low-cost wine attracted new consumers. As traditional Indian drink specialists are considered socially inappropriate for women to visit, sales of wine through supermarkets/hypermarkets in malls proved particularly successful in attracting female consumers and young workers with high disposable incomes.
·         Premium domestic wine and old world wine are meanwhile mainly sold through five-star hotels and restaurants. The high price points of these wines make them unaffordable for mass consumers in off-trade outlets and they are mainly consumed on-trade by an older, more affluent and knowledgeable clientele who have a more experienced palette and enjoy dryer old world wines. Off-trade consumers meanwhile typically prefer domestic and new world wine, which tend to be sweeter and less complex.
·         Sales of imported wine take place primarily through on-trade channels. Hotels and restaurants pay low excise duties and no custom duty on imported wine, allowing them to enjoy high margins on the sale of imported wines. As such, on-trade establishments prefer to have imported wines on their menus as they can sell these with high margins. Domestic players thus feel that the above tax incentive given to restaurants to sell imported wines is unfair as it is obstructing their efforts to promote domestically produced wines. Due to vocal opposition from the domestic wine lobby, in March 2008 the government advised hotels to pass the benefits of their duty free purchases of alcoholic drinks on to consumers by limiting the selling price to 220% of their own purchase cost. Accordingly, wine prices were marginally reduced in some major five-star hotels.
·         Chenin blanc, sauvignon blanc, shiraz/syrah and cabernet sauvignon remain the most common wine grape varietals grown in India. Success with other varietals such as merlot and pinot noir remained limited. However in 2008 companies such as Vintage Wines and Samant Soma started to experiment with growing newer varietals such as sangiovese and riesling in order to cater to consumers with more discerning palates.
·         New world wine accounted for 87% of total volume sales of wine in 2008. Old world wine volume sales, which are dominated by French wine, however grew by 42% in the year, albeit from a very small base. New world wine dominates sales due to being more accessible to the average Indian wine consumer. This wine is cheaper, sweeter and less complex and more widely available in off-trade outlets.
·         About 60% of off-trade volume sales of red wine are attributed to wine priced at an affordable Rs300-500 per litre. Prominent brands such as Sula, Zinzi and Vino are priced within this range. “Other” sparkling wine saw a slight price polarisation towards the end of the review period, meanwhile, with the under Rs499 price band increasing its share of off-trade volume sales by five percentage points in 2008 over the previous year. This was due to the contribution of Vino Sparkling at Rs147 per litre. The bulk of sales in “other” sparkling wines however stem from Marquise De Pompadour and Sula Brut which are priced at above Rs750 per litre.
·         France, Australia and Italy are the top three countries from which wine is imported into India, with these together accounting for 71% of all wine imports into India in 2006. In 2006, France, Australia and Italy accounted for 42%, 16% and 13% respectively of still light grape imported into India. France also led imports of sparkling wine with 62% volume share in 2006, followed by Germany and the UK with 12% share each.
·         With low awareness about Organic products in India players have not introduced Organic wines in India.
·         In order to make wine more convenient for the average Indian consumer, companies are moving away from traditional corked bottles. Several new brands, including Nilaya and Kingfisher Bohemia in 2008 and Zinzi and Vino Sparkling in 2007, were launched in bottles featuring screw cap closures. Low-cost brands Zinzi and Vino are also available in 375ml bottles.

Production, Imports and Exports

·         Official figures for the production of wine in India are not available. The number of wineries in India grew from six in 2002 to at least 50 in 2008, however, of which at least 45 are in Maharashtra. As expertise in winemaking, marketing and distribution is not easily available, most new wineries supply facilities on lease and/or supply bulk wine to established players. Samant Soma is expected to extend its production capacities to seven million litres per annum by December 2009, up from five million litres per annum in 2008. In 2008 Champagne Indage meanwhile extended its production capacities beyond its four vineyards in Maharashtra through contract farming in Himachal Pradesh. Champagne Indage also plans to further increase its production capacity to 20 million litres per annum by April 2009, up from 15 million litres in 2008.
·         With the mushrooming of a large number of domestic wineries in India and the large of amount of domestic and international media coverage of leading Indian wine brands such as Sula, both the exports and imports of wine in India have seen a sharp hike. Interest in wine consumption in India is fuel a growing demand for international wines. In 2006 imports grew by 29% in volume over the previous year, whereas exports grew by 26%. The major exporters of wine to India were France and Australia. The major importers of wine from India were Maldives and France, with these countries accounting for 41% and 14% volume share respectively of total exports in 2006.


Competitive Landscape

·         Champagne Indage continued to lead sales with 44% total volume share in 2007. Samant Soma Wines and Grover Vineyards were meanwhile at second and third place with 17% and 9% volume shares respectively. Champagne Indage offers prominent brands Vino and Chantilli with these accounting for 10% and 9% volume shares of wine respectively in 2007.
·         Champagne Indage is able to lead due to its strength in the distribution and production of wine in India. Its low-priced brands such as Vino are hugely successful in generating large volume sales. The company also benefits from its wide range of product offerings, which span all price points, from economy brand Vino Sparkling at Rs147 per litre to premium brand Chantilli at Rs1,133 per litre. Champagne Indage also has more than 3,000 off-trade outlets, including wine bars and wine shops across India and the company is expected to increase its number of outlets to 5,000 during the forecast period. Comparatively, Samant Soma has only one wine bar and plans to open up to three more by April 2009. United Spirits Ltd also plans to open direct wine off-trade outlets during the forecast period.
·         Volume sales attributed to “others” saw the highest growth in 2007. These sales grew by 37% in total volume terms in 2007 over the previous year due to the mushrooming of new wineries in Maharashtra. Domestic wine players such as Sankalp Winery Pvt Ltd and ND Wines Pvt Ltd expanded their distribution capabilities and established a presence in metros. These players are driving sales of affordable wine across India. Boutique wineries with premium offerings such as Vintage Wines, Chateau D’Ori Pvt Ltd and Terrior India Wineries Pvt Ltd also enjoyed a niche success.
·         Domestic brands enjoyed greater sales than imported brands towards the end of the review period. This was due to their widening presence in off-trade outlets across India and sustained price discounts, along with the use of food-pairing promotions. Revised duty levies in Maharashtra meanwhile dealt a blow to sales of imported wine in the largest wine-consuming region.
·         Competition among domestic players heated up in India towards the end of the review period. In 2007 and 2008, there were several launches of premium wines such as Reveilo, Indus Wines and Chateau D’Ori from domestic boutique wineries, with these well-received by high-income consumers. In addition, there were several notable mid-priced launches, such as Kingfisher Bohemia from United Spirits in July 2008 and Nilaya from Diageo in late-2007.
·         On Valentine’s Day 2008, Samant Soma launched Dia. This is India’s first low alcohol, asti spumante style economy wine in “other” sparkling wine. It is targeted specifically at women in terms of flavour, distribution and packaging. Dia is positioned in direct competition to Champagne Indage’s Vino Sparkling, which was launched in 2007. Both wines generated large volume sales in 2008 due to their low price points which triggered trial purchases by first-time wine consumers.
·         Advertising for wine in the mass media is not permitted as it is an alcoholic drink. However, wine received unprecedented mainstream attention when it was served to spectators at the Indian Premier League Cricket Tournament's inaugural match in Bangalore in April 2008. Companies also make extensive use of below-the-line marketing activities, especially off-trade promotions such as price discounts and sampling. Players also use on-trade promotions such as the wine-and-food pairing sessions organised by Diageo for Nilaya and Seagrams for Nine Hills.
·         Industry leaders such as Champagne Indage and Samant Soma, as well as new entrants such as United Spirits and Diageo, introduced wine brands that are only available in bottles with screw caps in a bid to promote the everyday consumption of wine. These launches included Dia, Nilaya and Kingfisher Bohemia in 2008 and Zinzi and Vino Sparkling in 2007.
·         Champagne Indage acquired Australian wineries Loxton and Vincrest and UK wine supplier Darlington Wines in 2008. The company thus increased its production capacity and widened its range of price points in its brand portfolio for international sales.
·         Larger players increased their production capacities by purchasing bulk wine supplies from small new wineries towards the end of the review period. This allowed new entrants such as United Spirits to make multiple large-scale product launches in 2008. United Spirits' subsidiary, Four Seasons Wines, is looking to expand its 500 acres of area under contract farming to 2,000 acres by 2010. United Spirits owns 51% equity in Four Seasons Wines, while the rest is owned by around 500 farmers of the Baramati region of Maharashtra.
·         Companies are also reaping additional revenues from wine tourism in and around the Nashik region in Maharashtra, offering fee-paying tours of vineyards and wineries, and through wine resorts. Companies following this route include Samant Soma Wines, Champagne Indage and Vintage Wines. In addition to profitable high-margin sales of wine and wine accessories such as corkscrews and glasses, wine tourism provides an avenue for educating consumers and building brand awareness.


Prospects

·         Major wine companies are expected to move into direct retail during the forecast period, opening wine bars and wine shops in order to expand their distribution capabilities. This will increase the accessibility and visibility of wine in India. It will also attract new consumers and promote connoisseurship and premiumisation among pre-existing wine consumers. Champagne Indage is expected to increase its number of direct off-trade outlets to 5,000 in the forecast period and has already allocated Rs40 crore for this venture. Samant Soma meanwhile plans to open up to three more wine bars by April 2009, with each spread over an area of 2,000 sq. feet. United Spirits Ltd also plans to open direct off-trade outlets by 2011.
·         A strong total volume CAGR of 28% is expected in the forecast period. While this is five percentage points lower than the review period total volume CAGR, wine is expected to maintain considerable volume growth momentum during the forecast period, with sales reaching 38 million litres by 2013. The leading companies will continue to increase their production and distribution capabilities and diversify their product portfolios. In addition, wine will also receive a considerable boost from the entry of spirits players. New entrants such as United Spirits are expected to inject vast amounts of resources into wine during the forecast period. They will also engage their massive marketing and distribution prowess, honed in spirits and beer, in promoting wine, thereby increasing the wine consumer base.
·         Companies may be pressured to pass on the rising costs of agricultural goods, fuel and other raw materials to the consumer during the forecast period by reducing price promotions. This could potentially threaten the volume growth of wine, as the widespread availability of low-cost wine was a crucial factor in driving volume sales growth in the review period. State governments’ protectionist excise policies, such as those already implemented by Maharashtra and Karnataka, make wine imported from other states more expensive. These could also potentially raise wine prices, threatening future growth.
·         Still red and white wine brands are increasingly adopting an anytime fuss-free positioning. These product areas will continue to lead sales growth in wine in the forecast period, due to their widespread distribution and availability at various price points. The contribution to sales of still rosé wine will remain small, however, as this has not gained a mainstream appeal with Indian consumers. Sparkling wine will continue to grow dynamically from a small base in the forecast period. However, at 20% total volume CAGR it will grow considerably more slowly than still light grape wine at 29% total volume CAGR, due to its niche positioning and high price.
·         The unit price of wine is expected to slowly decline during the forecast period. This will occur as economy wine continues to generate high volume sales due to its affordability and accessibility in off-trade channels. As competition intensifies, companies may increasingly compete based on price. Mid-priced brands generate lesser volume sales than economy brands and have lower margins than premium wine. Consequently, companies may seek to polarise their brand portfolio by focusing on premium and economy wine while phasing out mid-priced brands during the forecast period.
·         In the short-term, Kingfisher Bohemia from United Spirits is expected to enjoy considerable success in wine due to its accessible positioning, with the slogan “no rules, no rituals and no special occasions”. It is also expected to ride on the pre-existing brand equity and high visibility of its family brand Kingfisher, which is the leading beer brand in India. Domestic boutique wine Chateau D’ori was recognised as a high quality wine and will enjoy niche success as a premium wine. Dia from Samant Soma will also see niche success because of its low price point and marketing targeted specifically at women, along with its female-specific brand name, packaging and taste, as well as its targeted distribution through supermarkets/hypermarkets. Diageo’s Nilaya is likely to meet with a lukewarm response, however, because of its semi-premium price positioning. It will also suffer from its lack of an established pan-India distribution network comparable to that of Champagne Indage, Samant Soma and United Spirits.
·         With the success of 375ml packaging for Vino, more companies may consider introducing economical brands in single-serve packaging during the forecast period. Domestic companies are also expected to expand their premium wine portfolios in order to benefit from the exorbitant taxation introduced on imported wine in off-trade channels towards the end of the review period. Boutique wineries such as Terrior India Pvt Ltd are planning to introduce premium wine priced in direct competition with imported wine such as Jacobs Creek in order to capitalise on wine gifting during festival seasons. However, they will simultaneously boost their portfolios with high-volume low-cost wines for all-year-round sales.
·         In mid 2008, a National Wine Board (NWB) was set up in Pune under the Union Ministry of Food Processing Industries (MFPI) to promote wine. Over the forecast period it is expected to establish quality standards and enforce a uniform tax and duty regime for wines across all states. It is also expected to allow wine sales in department stores and to set up wine parks. If a uniform tax regime is established, it is expected to bring down the unit prices of wine and simplify the distribution and marketing of wine for both domestic and international players. Fiscal incentives and government aid will be offered to companies who set up production and marketing facilities in zones designated as wine parks.
·         The production of good quality wine by small new wineries is expected to receive a boost in the forecast period due to help from the government. The National Wine Board will promote contract and co-operative farming of grapes and undertake research and development in grape processing technology. In addition the Indian Institute of Vine and Wine (IIVW) will start its first intake in 2009, offering degree and diploma courses in wine making, finance and wine marketing.

Published Data Comparisons


National Consumer Expenditure

·         Consumer spending on wine in India stood at Rs30 billion in 2007 according to official statistics, up by 20% in current value terms over 2006. The off-trade value size generated by Euromonitor International meanwhile grew by 34% in current value terms from 2006 to reach Rs8 billion in 2007.
·         The large discrepancy between official national consumer expenditure and Euromonitor International’s value size can be attributed to the difference in the way these data points are estimated. Euromonitor International collects volume sales by brand and company to compile a total volume size, which is further split between on-trade and off-trade sales. Total value size is built based on these volumes by configuring in separate on-trade and off-trade unit prices. In contrast, official national consumer expenditure is based on official estimates from national and international statistical sources such as Census of India and World Bank. The national statistical estimates are essentially compiled from sample surveys from select households and then extrapolated to estimate national consumer expenditure.