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Saturday 26 April 2014

Credit Cards - Denmark



Credit Cards - Denmark


HEADLINES
  • In 2010 number of credit cards continues to increase to reach 1.3 million
  • Transaction volume increases by 8% to reach 70 million transactions while transaction value increases by 5% in current terms to DKr41.9 billion
  • Credit card industry in Denmark remains underdeveloped, accounting for only 70 million transactions compared to 944 million debit card transactions
  • Average transaction value continues to fall, from DKr613 in 2009 to DKr599 in 2010, as Danes are using their credit cards more frequently and for smaller purchases
  • MasterCard the leading operator with a retail value share of 76%
  • Credit card transactions expected to grow at a volume CAGR of 8% to 100 million while transaction value set to post a CAGR of 3% in constant terms to reach DKr49.4 billion by 2015
TRENDS
  • The global financial crisis cast a negative view on credit and credit cards which affected year-on-year growth in credit card transactions. In 2009, transaction volume declined by 5% while in 2010 it has risen by 8%. This growth is low considering how small the credit card segment in Denmark is.
  • Credit card issuance has been less affected by the global financial crisis, with slower but positive growth in both 2009 and 2010.
  • The economic downturn has not significantly impacted the balance between debit and credit cards. It has, however, impacted credit card momentum and as such credit cards will grow slower over the forecast period as a result of the financial crisis and debit cards slightly faster. This is the result of both consumers being more wary of credit cards but also credit card issuers having high set the bar higher and making it more difficult to obtain a credit card.
  • Credit card purchases would appear to have been put on hold as people are acquiring credit cards at a faster rate than the increase in transactions.
  • There are approximately 131,400 commercial credit cards in Denmark, and transaction volume has increased by 3% in 2010 to reach nearly four million transactions, worth a value of DKr2.8 billion. Commercial credit cards saw only slow growth in volume towards the end of the review period. This is a largely mature area and with companies increasingly focused on cost efficiency due to the economic downturn, many introduced restrictions on their employees' use of company credit cards. In Denmark, it is difficult for companies to obtain tax deductions linked to the use of commercial cards.
  • There are approximately 1.2 million personal credit cards in Denmark. Transaction volume has increased by 8% in 2010 to reach nearly 66 million transactions, worth a value of DKr39.1 billion. Almost all financial institutes in Denmark offer customers credit cards as part of their loyalty package, including not only established banks but also smaller financial companies. These credit cards are often easy to acquire but very costly to use. However, with increasing difficulties in obtaining loans towards the end of the review period, many opted for credit cards instead.
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
  • MasterCard is the leading operator in credit cards with a share of 77% in terms of card numbers and 76% in terms of transaction value.
  • Visa saw the biggest increase in share in both 2009 and 2010 as this is still a relatively new product. The first Visa credit card in Denmark was available in 2006. Visa held a 10% share in 2009 in personal credit cards, up from 9% in 2008.
  • In terms of issuers, Danske Bank Group led in 2009 with a 35% volume share, followed by Nordea Bank with 24%. Both slightly lost share in 2009 while Jyske Bank A/S, Sydbank A/S and Ekspres Bank A/S all slightly gained share. Consumers perceive smaller banks as being more personal and providing better customer service. It is also often easier to obtain credit from smaller banks.
  • Ekspres Bank A/S increased its share thanks to its new Visa credit card brand. Operators focused their marketing on special features such as bonus points or air miles. American Express has a premium profile in Denmark and its marketing focus is on exclusivity.
PROSPECTS
  • Over the forecast period credit card transaction volume is expected to grow at a CAGR of 8% to reach 100 million transactions, while transaction value is expected to post a CAGR of 3% in constant terms to reach DKr49.4 billion.
  • Personal credit cards will grow much faster than commercial credit cards in terms of both cards issued and number of transactions. Personal credit cards are becoming more popular and common and a strong increase in personal cards will eventually lead to an increase in transactions although many cards are expected to remain unused due to high APRs and market uncertainty. Consumers are furthermore also using credit cards increasingly for everyday use, although in 2009 they opted to pack away their credit cards and pay down credit debt instead.
  • Commercial credit cards is a more mature segment in Denmark and the number of cards issued is far lower than that of personal credit cards. As companies issue increasingly more credit cards to less senior staff average volume transaction per card and average value per transaction are decreasing.
  • MasterCard is expected to lose some share over the forecast period as Visa gains a foothold in the credit card industry in Denmark.
  • The credit card is expected to remain a niche product over the forecast period, especially after the global financial crisis that has made people more wary of debt and credit cards.
  • The Danish financial cards market will continue to develop and more resemble that of neighbouring markets. Companies expect that credit cards will eventually become more common and as such we can expect increased marketing of credit cards as markets recover.
  • MasterCard, with a 77% volume share of overall credit cards in Denmark, has the best platform from which to increase its credit card transactions.
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