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Saturday 26 April 2014

Bottled Water Market India


Bottled Water IN India- MARKET REPORT



Headlines

·         Off-trade bottled water sales grew by 26% in value in 2008, to reach Rs28.5 billion
·         Major brands have undergone image makeovers
·         Still bottled water dominates the sector, with flavoured, functional and carbonated products still having a negligible presence
·         Unit prices increased marginally in 2008
·         Competition is heating up as players vie for consumers’ attention
·         Off-trade bottled water sales are expected to record CAGRs of just over 16% in volume terms and approaching 17% in constant value terms over the forecast period.


Trends

·         With more and more companies recognising the potential in bottled water in India, competition heated up in 2008, and leading companies updated their offerings with revamped bottle shapes, label designs and new communication campaigns. In an effort to carve out market share in an increasingly crowded space, brands such as Bailley, Kinley, Aquafina and Himalayan underwent changes in packaging and labelling to gain more stylish looks. While Bisleri had undergone an image makeover in terms of colour and bottle shape in 2007, plans were set in motion in early 2008 to ramp up the brand’s image by extending it to flavoured water.
·         2008 off-trade value growth was in line with the review period CAGR. With growing health consciousness and a lack of reliable supplies of safe drinking water in urban and semi-urban areas, more and more people have adopted bottled water for on-the-go consumption, as well as bulk bottled water for at-home consumption. The increased availability of cheap home delivery of bulk bottled water from local and regional suppliers also increased the penetration of bottled water in the review period.
·         The bottled water sector in India is dominated by still bottled water, with flavoured and carbonated bottled water having a very small presence. With all the leading brands undergoing makeovers, and companies emphasising the health benefits and purity of bottled water, still bottled water saw robust growth in 2008.
·         The home delivery of bulk bottled water is thriving in the off-trade bottled channel, as bulk bottled water is a convenient and low-cost solution to the problems of unreliable municipal water supplies in cities and towns in the summer months. An increasingly educated and health conscious urban consumer base is also wary of consuming contaminated water outside the home, and people frequently consume bottled water bought from independent grocers and convenience stores.
·         On-trade volumes grew at the same rate as off-trade volumes in 2008. Consumption of the more upmarket mineral water is much higher in on-trade channels compared to off-trade trade channels, and brands like Evian and Himlayan are frequently offered to consumers by high-end on-trade establishments. Fountain sales of bottled water are not available in India.
·         Average off-trade unit prices moved up marginally in 2008, with increases in input costs putting pressure on companies.
·         Direct selling accounted for 18% of off-trade volume sales of still bottled water sales in India in 2008. While national players such as Parle Bisleri and PepsiCo India do undertake direct selling of bulk bottled water, the channel is dominated by local and regional players, which are able to offer consumers discounts and free home delivery. The unorganised sector also has a very large presence in direct selling of bottled water, and the supply of counterfeit products by tampering with the seals of organised players’ products is common.
·         Flavoured water in India has a very niche presence, and is dominated by DS Foods’ brand, Catch, which is available in several variants, such as peach, blackcurrant and lemon. While the brand is predominantly a regional brand from North India it was extended to high-end supermarkets in Bangalore and other large cities in 2008. The brand is priced at a premium of approximately 500% to regular still bottled water. Parle Bisleri and Tata Tea’s Mount Everest Mineral Water initiated plans to extend their brand portfolios to include flavoured water in 2008.


Competitive Landscape

·         Bottled water sales are led by Parle Bisleri Ltd, with the Bisleri brand commanding a 39% share of total volume sales in 2008. Bisleri is the leader in both on-trade and off-trade volume sales. In 2008, it was followed by Coca-Cola India Pvt Ltd’s Kinley brand, with just over 20% of total volume sales. PepsiCo India Holdings Pvt Ltd ranked third with its brand, Aquafina, which accounted for almost 14% of total volume sales. In addition to the national level players, there are numerous regional and local players crowding the market. Prominent amongst these is Dhariwal Industries Ltd, with 9% of total volume sales, thanks to its Oxyrich brand, which enjoys strong prominence in West India.
·         Parle Bisleri increased its off-trade volume share by one percentage point in 2008. In addition to its significant first mover advantage, with Bisleri being almost synonymous with bottled water, the company dominates the marketing environment, with high advertising expenditure. Its growth in sector share is also attributable to its continuing to expand its distribution and manufacturing capabilities to new regions in 2008.
·         Domestic brands, such as Bisleri, Bailley and Oxyrich, account for well over half of off-trade volume sales of bottled water in India. The notable multinationals operating in bottled water are Coca-Cola India and PepsiCo India. International brands, in the form of Kinley and Aquafina, account for a significant portion of sales, but have been unable to stem the growth of Bisleri. International premium brands, such as Evian and Schweppes, have an extremely niche presence, which is confined to high-end on-trade channels, due to their high prices.
·         In mid-2008, The Narang Group launched Qua – a premium mineral water bottled at source in the Himalayas. The product has a distinctive minimalist bottle shape and label design, which make it stand out among other mineral water brands, and is being targeted at affluent consumers who wish to indulge themselves with a luxury mineral water, but would still consider Qua a bargain at half the price of Evian.
·         As a part of the Kinley brand’s repositioning, Coca-Cola India launched a new outdoor and TV advertising campaign with the slogan “Boond boond mein vishwas” (“Trust in every single drop”). The campaign highlighted the purity and safety of the product, and introduced the new shape and colour of the Kinley bottle. PepsiCo India’s Aquafina also initiated a broad cross-media campaign to introduce its new labelling initiative, which called for more sustainable water usage.
·         Several brands launched new label design and bottle shapes in 2008, including Kinley, which was introduced in a blue curvy bottle which made it easier to grip, and Bailley, which was introduced in a shapely bottle reminiscent of the curves of the human body. Aquafina acquired a new translucent blue label that announced that PepsiCo India will soon be a “positive water balance” company. Mount Everest Mineral Water’s Himalayan underwent a complete brand makeover to be launched as a premium brand with an attractive pink coloured cap and a soothing Zen illustration on the label.
·         In bottled water, mineral water is considered a premium product, whereas distilled packaged water brands from national players are considered standard. The local and regional brands, such as Hello by Hello Minerals Water Pvt Ltd, are priced at a discount to national brands, and are considered to be economy brands. The difference lies in their pricing, as well as their distribution. The majority of national brands, such as Bisleri, Aquafina, Kinley and Oxyrich, fall in the standard segment, while brands such as Evian and Himalayan, which are limited to upmarket on-trade and retail outlets, are positioned in the premium segment, which remains very much a niche segment of the market.
·         There is a marginal private label presence in bottled water, with private label accounting for a 2% off-trade volume share in 2008. The private label presence is restricted to supermarkets/hypermarkets such as Big Bazaar’s Fresh N Pure. As off-trade sales of bottled water are mainly through independent grocers and paanwalas (street vendors) for on-the-go consumption, private label products have yet to develop a significant presence.


Prospects

·         After the rebranding exercises of 2008, the leading brands are expected to concentrate on expanding their market shares by increasing their distribution reach in the forecast period. The plans for expanding product portfolios to introduce premium variants, such as flavoured water, that were initiated in early 2008, may be pushed back in the short term as the uncertain economic climate has resulted in the tightening of purse strings in urban areas. Nonetheless, the market for bulk bottled water, which is a necessity in areas with unreliable water supply, is expected to remain robust in the forecast period.
·         The forecast off-trade volume CAGR, of 16%, while quite robust, is expected to be lower than the review period CAGR of 21%. As the consumer base for bottled water expands, growth rates are expected to slow year-on-year although they will still remain in double digits.
·         New water purification devices, such as HUL’s Pureit, which are able to supply safe drinking water at costs as low as Rs1 per litre, are a potential threat to the expansion of bulk bottled water. The spread of such devices, which purify tap water, are a particular threat to local and regional players, which depend on bulk water sales to homes for revenues.
·         Still bottled water is expected to continue to dominate the sector in the forecast period, as consumers have very low awareness of flavoured, functional and carbonated water products. Flavoured water products, such as Catch and Perrier, are not expected to expand beyond a very select consumer base of tourists and highly affluent Indians.
·         Unit prices are expected to rise over the forecast period, due to rising input costs. Players are currently operating on slim margins, due to high costs of transportation and packaging. Discounting of home delivery of bulk water is also expected to reduce, as players try to develop sustainable models for expansion, and introduce added-vale features, such as tamper proof packaging. At the same time, regulatory pressure on the sale of counterfeit products is expected to increase.
·         Qua mineral water is expected to enjoy a degree of success as a suitable substitute for other premium products, such as Evian, Perrier and Schweppes, which are almost twice as expensive. Its stand out packaging will also help it to build brand recall and generate trials.
·         Sector leader Parle Bisleri is expected to continue expanding its manufacturing and distribution capacity in the forecast period. While Coca-Cola India, PepsiCo India and Tata Tea are known to be considering the launch of flavoured and fortified water, the lack of a ready and sizeable consumer base for such products, as well as the global economic downturn, may delay their plans to the latter part of the forecast period. Other domestic FMCG players, such as Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Federation, are expected to foray into bottled water, as it will continue to be a strong growth market which can accommodate new players with regional economies of scale.
·         The national players are expected to expand their presence in bulk water by capitalising on their brand equity. Regional bulk water players are expected to differentiate themselves from counterfeiters by introducing tamper proof seals, such as the ones initiated by Parle Bisleri.


Sector Data


Institutional Bottled Water Sales

·         Institutional sales of bottled water grew by 20% in terms of volume in 2008. Growth was fuelled by the expansion of multinationals and the IT and BPO sector in tier I and tier II cities. The poor state of public infrastructure for drinking water in congested urban and semi-urban areas has necessitated the purchase of bulk drinking water for these institutions. Since the purchase of retail bulk water has become highly economical, and delivery is usually free, institutional sales of bottled water have been on the rise. However, low prices, a lax regulatory environment and stiff competition among local and regional players has spurred a large unorganised market for the supply of drinking water to institutions, as well as counterfeit suppliers, which merely refill the bottles from recognised companies.


Million litres
                                                                       2003               2004               2005               2006               2007               2008

Sales                                                        1,083.6          1,354.5          1,652.5          1,983.0          2,350.0          2,820.0
Source:           Company research, store checks, trade interviews, Euromonitor International estimates



million litres
                                                                       2003               2004               2005               2006               2007               2008

Still bottled water                                   1,059.9          1,293.4          1,549.6          1,827.7          2,185.8          2,734.3
Carbonated bottled water                                 -                       -                       -                       -                       -                       -
Flavoured bottled water                                    -                       -                       -                       -                       -                       -
Functional bottled water                                   -                       -                       -                       -                       -                       -
Bottled water                                           1,059.9          1,293.4          1,549.6          1,827.7          2,185.8          2,734.3
Source:           Official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, store checks, trade interviews, Euromonitor International estimates



Rs million
                                                                       2003               2004               2005               2006               2007               2008

Still bottled water                                   9,011.8        12,339.3        15,842.3        18,853.3        22,660.6        28,541.0
Carbonated bottled water                                 -                       -                       -                       -                       -                       -
Flavoured bottled water                                    -                       -                       -                       -                       -                       -
Functional bottled water                                   -                       -                       -                       -                       -                       -
Bottled water                                           9,011.8        12,339.3        15,842.3        18,853.3        22,660.6        28,541.0
Source:           Official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, store checks, trade interviews, Euromonitor International estimates



% volume growth
                                                                                                             2007/08        2003-08 CAGR       2003/08 TOTAL

Still bottled water                                                                                     25.1                            20.9                          158.0
Carbonated bottled water                                                                             -                                   -                                   -
Flavoured bottled water                                                                                -                                   -                                   -
Functional bottled water                                                                               -                                   -                                   -
Bottled water                                                                                            25.1                            20.9                          158.0
Source:           Official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, store checks, trade interviews, Euromonitor International estimates



% current value growth
                                                                                                             2007/08        2003-08 CAGR       2003/08 TOTAL

Still bottled water                                                                                     25.9                            25.9                          216.7
Carbonated bottled water                                                                             -                                   -                                   -
Flavoured bottled water                                                                                -                                   -                                   -
Functional bottled water                                                                               -                                   -                                   -
Bottled water                                                                                            25.9                            25.9                          216.7
Source:           Official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, store checks, trade interviews, Euromonitor International estimates



% off-trade volume
Company                                                                             2004               2005               2006               2007               2008

Parle Bisleri Ltd                                                                   29.0                29.0                31.5                37.5                39.0
Coca-Cola India Pvt Ltd                                                     28.0                24.0                23.0                21.0                20.0
PepsiCo India Holdings                                                     12.0                13.0                13.5                13.5                13.5
    Pvt Ltd                                                                                                                                                                                       
Dhariwal Industries Ltd                                                         5.0                  7.0                  9.0                  9.0                  9.0
Parle Agro Pvt Ltd                                                                  6.0                  4.0                  2.0                  1.5                  1.4
Mother Dairy Calcutta                                                               -                  0.5                  0.5                  0.5                  0.5
Private Label                                                                          2.0                  2.0                  2.0                  2.0                  2.0
Others                                                                                    18.0                20.5                18.5                15.0                14.6
Total                                                                                     100.0              100.0              100.0              100.0              100.0
Source:           Trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews, Euromonitor International estimates



% off-trade volume
Brand                                             Company                                             2005               2006               2007               2008

Bisleri                                             Parle Bisleri Ltd                                   29.0                31.5                37.5                39.0
Kinley                                             Coca-Cola India Pvt Ltd                     24.0                23.0                21.0                20.0
Aquafina                                       PepsiCo India Holdings                     13.0                13.5                13.5                13.5
                                                        Pvt Ltd                                                                                                                                   
Oxyrich                                          Dhariwal Industries Ltd                         7.0                  9.0                  9.0                  9.0
Bailley                                            Parle Agro Pvt Ltd                                  4.0                  2.0                  1.5                  1.4
Mother Dairy                                 Mother Dairy Calcutta                           0.5                  0.5                  0.5                  0.5
Private label                                 Private Label                                          2.0                  2.0                  2.0                  2.0
Others                                                                                                            20.5                18.5                15.0                14.6
Total                                                                                                             100.0              100.0              100.0              100.0
Source:           Trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews, Euromonitor International estimates



% off-trade value rsp
Company                                                                             2004               2005               2006               2007               2008

Parle Bisleri Ltd                                                                   28.0                27.5                31.0                37.0                38.0
Coca-Cola India Pvt Ltd                                                     26.0                23.0                22.0                20.5                20.0
PepsiCo India Holdings                                                     13.5                14.0                14.5                14.5                14.5
    Pvt Ltd                                                                                                                                                                                       
Dhariwal Industries Ltd                                                         5.5                  7.5                  9.5                  9.5                  9.5
Parle Agro Pvt Ltd                                                                  6.0                  4.0                  2.0                  1.5                  1.4
Mother Dairy Calcutta                                                               -                  0.5                  0.5                  0.5                  0.5
Private Label                                                                          2.0                  2.0                  2.0                  2.0                  2.0
Others                                                                                    19.0                21.5                18.5                14.5                14.1
Total                                                                                     100.0              100.0              100.0              100.0              100.0
Source:           Trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews, Euromonitor International estimates



% off-trade value rsp
Brand                                             Company                                             2005               2006               2007               2008

Bisleri                                             Parle Bisleri Ltd                                   27.5                31.0                37.0                38.0
Kinley                                             Coca-Cola India Pvt Ltd                     23.0                22.0                20.5                20.0
Aquafina                                       PepsiCo India Holdings                     14.0                14.5                14.5                14.5
                                                        Pvt Ltd                                                                                                                                   
Oxyrich                                          Dhariwal Industries Ltd                         7.5                  9.5                  9.5                  9.5
Bailley                                            Parle Agro Pvt Ltd                                  4.0                  2.0                  1.5                  1.4
Mother Dairy                                 Mother Dairy Calcutta                           0.5                  0.5                  0.5                  0.5
Private label                                 Private Label                                          2.0                  2.0                  2.0                  2.0
Others                                                                                                            21.5                18.5                14.5                14.1
Total                                                                                                             100.0              100.0              100.0              100.0
Source:           Trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews, Euromonitor International estimates



million litres
                                                                       2008               2009               2010               2011               2012               2013

Still bottled water                                   2,734.3          3,338.5          3,976.2          4,616.7          5,222.1          5,744.6
Carbonated bottled water                                 -                       -                       -                       -                       -                       -
Flavoured bottled water                                    -                       -                       -                       -                       -                       -
Functional bottled water                                   -                       -                       -                       -                       -                       -
Bottled water                                           2,734.3          3,338.5          3,976.2          4,616.7          5,222.1          5,744.6
Source:           Official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews, Euromonitor International estimates



Rs million
                                                                       2008               2009               2010               2011               2012               2013

Still bottled water                                 28,541.0        35,092.1        42,215.6        49,376.6        56,273.0        62,391.6
Carbonated bottled water                                 -                       -                       -                       -                       -                       -
Flavoured bottled water                                    -                       -                       -                       -                       -                       -
Functional bottled water                                   -                       -                       -                       -                       -                       -
Bottled water                                        28,541.0        35,092.1        42,215.6        49,376.6        56,273.0        62,391.6
Source:           Official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews, Euromonitor International estimates



% volume growth
                                                                                                            2008-13 CAGR                                 2008/13 TOTAL

Still bottled water                                                                                                 16.0                                                    110.1
Carbonated bottled water                                                                                         -                                                             -
Flavoured bottled water                                                                                            -                                                             -
Functional bottled water                                                                                           -                                                             -
Bottled water                                                                                                        16.0                                                    110.1
Source:           Official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews, Euromonitor International estimates



% constant value growth
                                                                                                            2008-13 CAGR                                 2008/13 TOTAL

Still bottled water                                                                                                 16.9                                                    118.6
Carbonated bottled water                                                                                         -                                                             -
Flavoured bottled water                                                                                            -                                                             -
Functional bottled water                                                                                           -                                                             -
Bottled water                                                                                                        16.9                                                    118.6
Source:           Official statistics, trade associations, trade press, company research, trade interviews, Euromonitor International estimates