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Saturday, 19 April 2014

SWOT Analysis of HDFC Bank


SWOT Analysis of HDFC Bank

Strategic and SWOT Analysis Report on HDFC Bank


COMPANY OVERVIEW

HDFC Bank (HDFC or "the company") is a new generation private sector bank in India which specializes in the provision of banking and other financial services to upper and middle income individuals and corporations. The company's services include retail, commercial and electronic banking products. It also provides treasury services and capital markets infrastructure. The company primarily operates in India. HDFC Bank is headquartered in Mumbai, India and employed about 69,065 people as on March 31, 2013.

The company recorded revenues of INR232,985.4 million ($4,291.6 million) during the financial year ended March 2013 (FY2013), an increase of 22.1% over FY2012.The operating profit of the company was INR100,040.1 million ($1,842.7 million) in FY2013, an increase of 30.5% over FY2012. The net profit was INR68,725.2 million ($1,265.9 million) in FY2013, an increase of 30.9% over FY2012.

SWOT ANALYSIS

HDFC Bank (HDFC or “the company”) is a new generation private sector bank in India which specializes in the provision of banking and other financial services to upper and middle income individuals and corporations. The company's services include retail, commercial and electronic banking products. It also provides treasury services and capital markets infrastructure. The bank's franchise strength and market recognition in India and abroad enables the bank to get better and easy access to interbank markets in India and abroad as well. However, deregulation of savings accounts interest rates could affect the company’s deposit growth and margins.

Strengths

Franchise strength and market recognition in India and abroad

HDFC Bank is a new generation private sector bank which specializes in the provision of banking and other financial services. It is the second largest private sector bank in India. The company is a part of the HDFC group of companies. Housing Development Finance Corporation, the flagship company of the group and its subsidiaries, owned 16.5% of its outstanding equity shares as of March 31, 2013 .

The bank has grown rapidly since commencing operations in January 1995. In the seven years
ended March 31, 2013, it expanded its operations from 467 branches and 1,147 ATMs in 211 cities to 3,062 branches and 10,743 ATMs in 1,845 cities. During the same seven years, its customer base grew from 6.8 million customers to over 28.7 million customers. The assets have grown from INR535.5 billion ($10.3 billion) in FY2005 to INR4,003.3 billion ($65.5 billion) in FY2013. The bank received Asian Banker Excellence Awards 2012 - Best retail bank in India, Best Bancassurance business in India and Best Risk Management in India. Franchise strength and market recognition in India and abroad enables the bank to get better and easy access to interbank markets in India and abroad as well.

Diversified revenue streams check financial performance volatility

The bank's revenue streams have been diversifying and the dependence on wholesale banking has been declining over the last few years. In FY2013, the company's dependence on wholesale banking declined to 26.2%, compared to 32.6% in FY2009 or 34% in FY2008. At the same time, contribution from retail banking increased to 51.9% in FY2013, compared to 45.7% in FY2009 or 42% in FY2008. Diversified revenue streams have helped the bank check volatility in financial performance.

Increasing capital strength provides higher risk tolerance

The company's capital position is improving year on year basis. The tier I capital ratio, which is the measure of the core capital of a bank has improved from 10.30% in FY2008 to 11.08% in FY 2013, when calculated in line with the Basel II framework. Consequently, total capital adequacy ratio has improved from 13.6% to 16.8% for the same period, well above the minimum regulatory requirement of 9.0%. The increasing capital strength provides higher risk tolerance and opportunities for further expansion.

Weaknesses

Relative lack of scale hampering competitive strengths

HDFC Bank lacks scale to compete with certain domestic peers. Although, it has nation-wide presence in India, however, the number of its branches is far less than that of State Bank of India and ICICI Bank Limited. The bank's lack of scale is also evident from market capitalization, revenue, profits and number of branches. For instance, in FY2013, State Bank of India recorded revenues of INR603 ,662 million (approximately $33,990.3 million), net income of INR 141,050 million ($3,066.8 million) and has over 20325 branches. Relative lack of scale is hampering the bank's competitive strengths against its domestic peers.

Declining bancassurance revenues

HDFC Bank's bancassurance revenues have declined steeply in the last few quarters. Bancassurance, also known as, Bank Insurance Model, is a term to describe the partnership or relationship between a bank and an insurance company whereby the insurance company uses the sales & distribution channel of the bank to sell its insurance products. The Bancassurance channel which has been one of the key contributors to the insurance business is now under the scanner of the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA). In 2011, the cut in agent's commissions led to a sharp decline in the number of agents in the life insurance companies leading to decline in sales numbers. HDFC Bank was also impacted. HDFC Bank's bancassurance revenues could continue to decline in the years to come.

Opportunities

Linking government subsidies to Unique Identification Authority of India or Aadhar project likely to expand customer base

Government of India announced its decision to link government subsidies to Unique Identification Authority of India or Aadhar project. For instance, in 2012, the Indian government announced to reimburse subsidy on domestic gas cylinders to households based on Aadhar cards through nationalized banks. Financial services companies including banks and insurance stand to gain an estimated combined new customer base of over 125 million. Several banks including Allahabad Bank, Indian Bank, Indian Overseas Bank, have signed memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the Unique Identification Authority of India (UIDAI) to conduct proof of concept (POC) studies, pilot test the working of the technology and process of enrolment into the UID data base and subsequently full roll out of the UID project. These banks will directly credit INR100 to BPL customers added through Aadhar project. Moreover, Aadhar project could help banks roll-out their business correspondent (BC) kiosks successfully. Aadhar project could also enhance the success of non-traditional service channels, such as mobile banking, point of sale, ATMs etc, engaged by financial institutions.

Government initiatives and support for Indian banking industry

The Government of India (GoI) has announced plans to strengthen Indian banking sector. In its
Budget for 2012-13, the GoI has earmarked a capital of INR158,880 million ($ 3.11 billion) to be infused in public sector banks, regional rural banks and other financial institutions, including Nabard (National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development). Apart from this, the GoI is also planning to set up a financial holding company that will raise funds for public sector banks. Taking a step closer towards mobile banking, the RBI has allowed banks to facilitate cross-border remittance between bank accounts through mobiles, subject to clearance from the local regulator. Banks will stand responsible for ensuring quality of funds, adherence to know-your-customer (KYC) and other standards during the process. Furthermore, the RBI has liberalized regulations pertaining to FCAs to provide operational flexibility to Indian entities making overseas direct investments. After satisfying stipulated requirements and conditions, Indian entities can open, hold and maintain FCAs abroad that would simplify the process of making overseas direct investments. Government initiatives and support for Indian banking industry could prove beneficial.

Growing Indian financial services sector

Since liberalization in 1991, Indian financial services sector has maintained double digit growth. The financial sector is projected to grow around 20% during 2009-14. Several factors could contribute to this growth. For instance, technological advancements like mobile, SMS, and internet banking will help banking sector to maintain the high growth rate in the coming decade. Another initiative, Unique Identity (UID) project, renamed Aadhaar, which is intended to provide 16 digit identity number to more than a billion Indians, is likely to spur the growth of a business ecosystem around it. The Aadhaar number is likely to be rolled out to around 600 million citizens in the next 4-5 years ending 2014. Financial services companies including banks and insurance stand to gain an estimated combined new customer base of over 125 million. Aadhaar project could also enhance the success of non-traditional service channels, such as mobile banking, point of sale, ATMs etc, engaged by financial institutions. HDFC is the second largest private sector bank in India and the growing Indian banking sector could help the bank to exploit the opportunities.

Threats

Weakening economic prospects in India

Indian economic prospects seem to be weakening in the months to come. According International Monetary Fund (IMF), India recorded 4% growth in 2012, declining from 7% growth in 2011. IMF projects Indian economy to grow at 5.7% in 2103. Indian economy recorded a growth of 4.7% in the first quarter of 2013-14. The delayed monsoon, coupled with weaknesses in the agricultural supply chains and rising costs of fertilizers and irrigation, are likely to result in subdued agricultural growth and sustain pressure on food prices. Industrial output is expected to remain subdued in the 2013-14, with only a modest improvement next year. Weakening economic prospects in India could affect credit off-take both by retail and corporate customers.

Intense competition likely to erode margins

Competition in Indian banking sector is becoming intense as new players with greater financial muscle are entering. For instance, National Australia Bank has recently opened its branch in Mumbai, India. The bank would not only support existing institutional corporate and business banking customers operating or trading with India but would also act as a mediator for Indian clients who want to expand or invest in Australia or New Zealand. Meanwhile, Development Bank of Singapore infused INR5,000 million ($92.1 million) for operations of its wholly-owned subsidiary DBS Bank India. Similarly, Deutsche Bank infused INR4,550 million ($83.8 million) in India to enhance its business. The entity is committed to establish a universal banking franchise in India and looking forward to become a WoS to achieve the same.

Deregulation of savings accounts interest rates could affect deposit growth and margins

Regulation of savings deposit interest rate in India has imparted rigidity as savings deposit interest rate has not been changed since March 1, 2003 although other interest rates have moved in either direction. However, towards the end of October 2011, RBI, deregulated savings deposit interest rates. This means that banks are now free to set the rate they want instead of the 4% that was fixed for all banks earlier. The main condition that RBI has put forth is that interest rates for all account holders with less than INR0.1 million will remain uniform. It has been observed that 49 banks, which have below average CASA deposits, constitute about 50% of total asset of the banking sector. Therefore, given the attractiveness of savings deposits, deregulation may lead to unhealthy competition amongst banks. This could lead to higher cost of CASA deposits.
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