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Saturday, 19 April 2014

Call Centre in UK Market Positioning


 

UK Call Centre 

Market Positioning


The position of the call centre market varies somewhat depending on the role being fulfilled. The majority of the market continues to consist of internal call centres within companies providing a range of services ranging from customer services primarily involving incoming calls, to telesales involving outgoing calls. Call centres are frequently internalised when the demand is ongoing (rather than to support a one-off campaign) and where the function is considered to be a core activity of the company. Indeed, the opportunity for direct feedback from customers (and in the case of telesales also non-customers) has placed call centres at the centre of many marketing initiatives, particularly with the growing trend for companies to focus on customer relationship management (CRM).

However, a growing proportion of the demand is met by third party call centre operators. These offer the advantage of specialised knowledge and typically have sophisticated software and hardware as well as trained staff to maximise the effectiveness of the service. The continued trend towards outsourcing, as companies concentrate on core activities, has seen demand in this sector grow. Indeed, the outsourcing sector is believed to have outperformed the UK call centre industry in recent years, and is expected to continue to do so in the near future. Furthermore, with the pace of IT development, many potential users of call centres are wary of investing in their own equipment which may soon become outdated. The use of outsourcing varies between markets, with the telecom and utilities sectors the most prolific users of outsourcers’ skills, in particular concerning outbound sales campaigns and customer satisfaction surveys.

The market includes both the business-to-consumer market and the business-to-business sector. The growing acceptance of the telephone as part of modern living, reflected in the high levels of mobile phone ownership, has resulted in the use of telephones as a means of marketing communication becoming increasingly accepted, whereas previously, particularly in the business-to-consumer sector, the use of “cold calling” was believed to be an invasion of privacy. Nevertheless, recent increases in applications to the Telephone Preference Service (TPS) and to BT Privacy are expected to have a negative impact on outbound telemarketing. Indeed, more than half of UK households are registered with TPS, and cold calling is increasingly seen as old-fashioned, expensive and potentially damaging to a company’s reputation. Furthermore, during 2005 a number of telemarketers identified cold calling would not be economically viable after 2010. Moreover, as a result of legislation and consumer pressure, unsolicited outbound calling is in decline, with permission marketing taking its place. Indeed, whilst cold calling is expected to contract, outbound value-added service is likely to differentiate brands. An increasing proportion of outbound calling is now to existing customers, delivering customer care and proactively informing them about events, products and services. Moreover, the DMA recommended best code of practice for outbound calling suggests the over-dial rate should be no higher than 5% in any 24-hour period.

However, the telephone has developed in an increasingly important marketing channel, providing information in both directions. The increasing marketing focus of companies has been facilitated by IT developments in recent years and as such call centres are forming a growing role in the communication between companies and their customers. Despite being the main channel of communication, telephony is not the sole method available to call centres, as SMS text messaging and Email services are an increasingly attractive option. Nonetheless, demand for other communication methods such as SMS text messaging and Email has not been as popular as previously anticipated. Indeed, they are only believed to represent a minor sector of communications, and of the small minority of call centres which use these methods, Email is more widespread. In 2008, Email accounted for an estimated 8% of interactions. This is believed to represent the poor support and attention given to Email and SMS text messaging, as call centres focus on telephony. In turn, Email service levels are poor. Furthermore, in a survey conducted by ContactBabel for the UK Contact Centre Operational Review in 2007, 81% of Emails were answered manually by an agent, with no assistance from an Email management solution linked to a knowledge base which could, if used efficiently, help work through the volumes of Email and also provide consistent responses. Nonetheless, there is a desire within the industry to increase Email interaction.

There has been some speculation that the role of the Internet will hinder the ongoing development of the call centre market, although for reasons discussed in this report, MBD believe that the two are increasingly complementary rather than directly competitive. Indeed, the Internet is increasingly becoming a customer service channel for businesses, as increasing numbers of consumers shop and access information online. Furthermore, there has been a rise in the number of consumers asking questions through Internet self-service systems to obtain information. However, this is increasingly at the expense of calling or Emailing call centres, as customers require faster responses.

Indeed, in May 2007, a study conducted by Genesys identified the most prominent emerging trends in the industry were a consumer-driven desire for proactive contact and the need for better support for a broader set of communication channels, including SMS, web chat and Email. Indeed, 86% of participants stated they want Email communication, and more than 45% would like Email to become their primary communication channel. The speed of communication is also an important factor, with 21% expecting a one-hour response time. An additional 17% expect an Email response within four hours and 47% within 24-hours. A further 19% would like communication via web-chat (i.e. instant messaging) and 17% want SMS messages.

Development of Market Position
The UK market for call centres remains smaller than the US market, where both telesales and customer service facilities are well established. Trade sources report that in the US, 83% of the Fortune 1000 companies utilise some kind of telephone-based marketing. Nevertheless, the UK leads the European market by a considerable margin, although research indicates that just 27% of UK companies identify call centres as being important for communicating with their customers. However, this is forecast to rise to 45% by 2011. Indeed, the UK was home to approximately a third of all European call centres in 2004, with the UK market for call centres attracting the largest share of inward investment in Europe. Germany is thought to operate a fifth of Europe’s call centres, followed by the Netherlands and the Republic of Ireland, whereas France and Greece are home to few operations. With regard to potential threats, MBD believe that the Netherlands offers considerable potential for the multilingual market development, while Ireland is also increasingly attracting call centre operators, despite only claiming a very small share of the market.

The reasons for the relative size of the UK market compared with those in other European countries are detailed below.


Deregulation of the telephone sector is more advanced in the UK than in many other European countries and this has exerted a downward effect on the cost of phone calls in the UK, despite the fact that local connections to date remains a monopoly market. However, in contrast, state involvement in telecommunications networks remains in many countries who view the telecommunications network as being of strategic importance.

The flexibility of the labour force in the UK makes the market attractive. The needs of the industry tend to be subject to significant fluctuation in terms of demand, often requiring manning outside of conventional office hours either as a 24-hour service or to undertake telesales at periods when householders are home. The UK labour force has a reputation for its flexibility, while in other countries such as Germany, legislation has prevented this market from developing. While increased EU employment legislation has increased the costs of call centre operators in recent years, the UK labour market remains relatively flexible compared with other European countries. Furthermore, the UK workforce is becoming increasingly educated and the Labour Government’s commitment to education has already resulted in more students gaining qualifications in areas such as information technology, business studies and design and technology.

Many industry sources and commentators argue that another factor has been the widespread availability of multilingual operators allowing the EU market to be covered from the UK. However, MBD believe that a stronger factor is the fact that the language is the same as in the USA, making this an obvious region of diversification for US service providers. In addition, the UK industry tends to follow the management and marketing practices of the US culture more closely than many other EU countries.

The market concept of call centres is older in the UK and the industry has therefore had more time to develop.


The relative maturity of the UK market however, suggests that while sustained strong growth in demand is still anticipated in the medium term, the rate of growth in other European markets is likely to be stronger than in the UK. Eastern European countries are now following Ireland in providing a pool of skilled, cheaper labour and are likely to see the most growth in the industry, as well as an increasing number of smaller concentrations of call centres now locating in the Carribean, India, Australia and New Zealand, although these are predominantly used by US companies.

With agent salaries in the UK accounting for nearly two thirds of a company’s operating budget, a staff cost saving of at least 30% can be achieved by offshoring. Indeed, the potential costs savings have attracted many companies, as detailed below.


BT, Prudential, Lloyds TSB and Royal and SunAlliance are some of the major players who have set up overseas call centres in recent years, although with some since having returned to the UK.

In October 2003, HSBC announced a three year plan to cut 4000 UK jobs, mainly processing and call centre roles, with the intention of relocating centres to India, Malaysia and China.

Norwich Union announced the move of 2350 jobs to India in December 2003. However, during 2007 the company announced it is to move some of its call centre work back to the UK, as Indian call centre staff had difficulties in understanding what customers are talking about.

In November 2005, Cheltenham and Gloucester, Lloyds TSB’s mortgage arm, announced the closure of their mortgage application centre in Warwick, resulting in the loss of around 400 jobs, which would be transferred to Mumbai in India. Cheltenham and Gloucester had already previously transferred more than 2500 jobs to Mumbai in a cost cutting drive, as the company closed a call centre in Newcastle during 2004.

In December 2005, BT advised employees at Client Logic in Derby and Bristol it is to move broadband operations to India. Nevertheless, the company offered employees the possibility of working at one of its call centres in Nottingham, Leicester or Stoke.

HSBC announced plans to establish a global operations call centre in Malta, to handle in-bound calls from its high value customers to complement existing call centres. In April 2006, the company approved the reported 7 million to set up the global call centre in Malta, which employs around 350 new employees and commenced operations at the end of 2006. More recently, in March 2009, HSBC announced 1200 job cuts in the UK and will move a 'small proportion' of UK call centre positions overseas following a shake-up of the business.

In August 2006, Orange reported plans to close its Northern England contact centre and create new jobs at its Indian facility in a move to improve customer relations and cut costs. 900 call centre agents at the Peterlee centre will reportedly either be moved to the North Tyneside or Darlington contact centres or be offered redundancy packages. The restructure is to allow for another 300 agents to be added to the company’s 1000 member customer service team in India. The company reported the arrangement was primarily to reduce customer waiting times.

Also in August 2006, the travel firm Thomson announced it was to close its call centre in Glasgow on 12 December 2006, resulting in the loss of 450 jobs. The company has said it will retain its six smaller call centres in England, although blamed the closure on increasing numbers of people booking their holidays online, rather than by phone. Indeed, Thomson said Internet bookings increased from 10% to 50% of business since the Glasgow call centre opened in 1999.

A second high-profile call centre closure in Scotland was that of the NTL Telewest customer contact centre at South Gyle in Edinburgh in September 2006, causing the loss of 150 jobs. Following the merger of NTL and Telewest at the beginning of 2006, bosses announced plans to cut 6000 jobs between the combined businesses by the end of 2007, although NTL Telewest denied rumours of plans to outsource the work overseas, possibly to India.

Following the successful opening of a contact centre in the Philippines in February 2006, Dell opened a second call centre in the Metro-Manila area in February 2007. The company selected the Philippines for the customer contact centre expansion reflecting the areas high-quality work force with strong language and communication skills.

In March 2007, Barclaycard announced it was to move some of its operations to India following the closure of its Manchester call centre in the summer of 2007, with jobs going to a number of other locations including Delhi, Mumbai and Teesside.


Nonetheless, customers are increasingly dissatisfied about overseas call centres, with some high street banks advertising their commitment to keeping call handling in the UK as an incentive to satisfy existing customers and attract new customers from their rivals. Customers face problems understanding overseas call centre employees, they dislike the practice of foreign call centre agents assuming false English names and also consider overseas agents to be unhelpful. Indeed, in August 2007, research from Nationwide Building Society revealed that 93% of people believed it is important that their calls are handled by a call centre based in the UK. Of those surveyed, 79% said they would be less likely to deal with a company that used call centres abroad and 52% would change to another provider if they found their main bank or building society had started using a call centre abroad. According to the research, one in 10 adults (74%) prefer call centres in the UK as they believe they can get a better service, it’s better for the UK economy and that their calls are answered quickly and efficiently.

In an attempt to improve difficulties concerning language barriers, IBM’s India research laboratory has developed web-based interactive language technology to help people who speak English as their second language to improve their verbal skills. Based on advanced speech processing techniques, the technology evaluates grammar, pronunciation, comprehension and other spoken language skills. The technology also provides detailed scores for each category. Nonetheless, a number of companies are returning call centre operations to the UK, as detailed below.


In 2005, Abbey switched call centre work back to Scotland and England from India, announcing plans to shut a centre in Bangalore. It followed growing complaints from customers, which included language problems.

In June 2006, the UK based BPO firm Vertex, which has around 1800 employees in Gurgaon, reported it was to move around 700 jobs from its Powergen project back to the UK, citing customer satisfaction as being more important than cost cutting. Furthermore, in January 2007, Powergen announced it was to create 150 new jobs in Nottingham, adding to a further 1000 staff already recruited across the UK, after the company closed its Indian call centres in 2006. The result has been a significant improvement in Powergen’s standing in the Energywatch league table, from last to second place.

In January 2007, Teleperformance announced it was to create 450 jobs in Northern Ireland following support from Invest Northern Ireland for a new £6.5 million call centre in Newry. At its peak the company employed 300 call handling agents in first Bangalore and then Mumbai, however this has since been reduced to 100 agents.

eSure also announced call centre work outsourced to India would be back in the UK by the end of January 2007. eSure had said that the move to India had been a temporary solution to a recruitment problem, as opposed to a cost-saving measure.

Aviva insurance brand Norwich Union announced plans to bring 150 call centre staff back from India in January 2007. The new 150 British positions were likely to be filled by existing Norwich Union staff and only deal with first-contact calls. The subsequent work remained to be completed in India.

Lloyds TSB closed its call centre operations in Mumbai in April 2007. This was a major u-turn for the company which has routed calls through to India since 2004. The Mumbai call centre typically handled overflow calls when UK agents were busy, however the success of the banks automated speech-enabled phone self-service system deemed the Mumbai call centre unnecessary. Furthermore, in November 2007 Lloyds TSB announced plans to create a further 150 jobs at its call centre in Glasgow, which already employs more than 1000 people.

In June 2008, Orange announced plans to hire 500 new customer care staff in the UK to work in call centres and Orange shops, meaning more customers would be connected to a UK agent rather than one in India. Although Orange has 1500 agents working in India, the company believes this number is unlikely to increase in the future.

In October 2008, tour operator Jet2holidays.com brought its call centre back from Delhi to the UK, creating 30 new jobs.


In recent years, Wales has surfaced as a suitable location for call centres. The Welsh callt centre market is one of the fastest growing sectors of the country’s economy. At the end of 2005, the call centre market in Wales was worth £400 million. There were 160 call centres, employing 24 000 people, although this figure could increase by 20% to 30% by the end of 2008. In January 2007, Yell announced plans to create more than 250 jobs at a new call centre in Newport, Gwent to support its 118 247 directory inquiries service. Yell won a grant of up to £910 000 from the Welsh Assembly to help towards building the new site.

Despite the adverse publicity regarding the offshoring of call centre operations, trade sources report the offshoring movement is not likely to disappear anytime soon. Companies continue to see the benefits of providing some elements of customer care in offshore locations. Benefits include lower costs, along with access to agents with excellent language skills and commercial sophistication. It is reported that many companies are re-thinking their strategy and incorporating nearshore / onshore capabilities in addition to self-service.

Furthermore, some developers have identified an interest in Goa as an additional location for call centre offshoring, as prices in India’s property market increase. Goa is considered a suitable location, reflecting cheap land and a workforce with good English speaking skills. However, advisers to the offshoring industry believe companies are considering moving call centres away from India as a result of the negative impact on their brands. India is also keen to move beyond its association with call centre outsourcing, in order to expand into more sophisticated areas of industry. With many Indian call centre employees seeking higher pay and/or leaving the industry altogether, India seems to be experiencing what happened to Ireland in the early 1990s. Indeed, industry insiders believe India could lose approximately 45% of its outsourcing to countries such as the Philippines, Malaysia, Vietnam, Tunisia and Poland. In the Phillippines alone, the number of call centre employees increased from 2000 in 2001 to around 200 000 in 2005. Indeed, in March 2007, Dell opened a second call centre in the Phillippines.

2.5  UK Economy
Overview

During the first few years of the current decade, the UK economy has been growing at more than four times the pace of the Euro region. However, growth slowed during 2004 and 2005, with GDP increasing by 1.9% in the latter year. In 2006, GDP growth accelerated once again, rising by 2.7%, while full year data for 2007 indicates that GDP increased by a stronger 3.1%. Latest government data shows that GDP contracted by 1.5% in quarter four 2008, the steepest quarterly drop since 1980. This fall follows a 0.7% decline in quarter three, which means the UK is now officially in recession. Over 2008 as a whole, the UK economy increased by 0.7% compared with 2007, although this is down from 3% in the previous year.

In quarter four 2008, manufacturing output made the largest contribution to the slowdown, falling by 4.5% compared with a 1.7% decline recorded in the previous quarter. Construction output contracted by 1.1%, compared with a 0.2% decline in quarter three, while services output weakened by 0.9% compared with a 0.5% decline in the previous quarter. The current economic downturn has resulted from the turmoil on the financial markets that started in 2007, the resulting global credit crunch, falling house prices, and high inflation, which has been fuelled by rising food and fuel prices.

In the Government’s 2008 Pre-Budget Report, the Chancellor revised his economic growth forecast for 2008 downwards to 0.75%, significantly lower than the 2.5% increase predicted in March 2008. Latest official figures reveal that the UK economy actually shrank by 0.7% in 2008. Economic growth forecasts for 2009 were also slashed from 2.75% to between minus 0.75% and minus 1.25%. For 2010, the Chancellor predicts economic growth of between 1.5% and 2%. Forecasts for GDP by independent analysts average around minus 2.5% for 2009, thus showing a more pessimistic outlook than the government’s predictions. Furthermore, the IMF expects that the UK will be hardest hit in the developed world by the current global downturn, with the IMF predicting the UK economy to shrink by 2.8% in 2009, with a moderate 0.2% increase forecast for 2010.

In the 2008 Pre-Budget Report the Chancellor significantly revised his borrowing and spending plans for 2008/09 and onwards in a bid to soften the impact of the current economic downturn, with key measures including :


Government borrowing will be taken to record levels, reaching £78 billion in 2008/09, up from £43 billion predicted in the 2008 Budget. In 2009/10, borrowing is planned to increase by a further 8% to £118 billion. the Chancellor predicts that borrowing will fall from 2010 onwards so that by 2016 the UK would once again be borrowing only to invest.

the Government will bring forward £3 billion capital spending from 2010/11. The money will be used to increase motorway capacity, improve and build new social housing, renew schools and invest in energy measures. However, the Government also announced a cut in the rate of growth in public spending, now expected to grow by 1.2% per year, down from 1.8% previously planned. Public sector net investment will move to 1.8% of GDP by 2013/14.


The UK economy has traditionally been characterised by a fluctuation between boom and bust. During the first half of the current decade, this cycle had increasingly appeared to have been at least condensed and elongated. However, the recent apparently longer term slower levels of overall growth have been achieved with a two speed economy. The growth stimulus seen during the early part of the current decade has arisen from the consumer spending activity, (which in turn has been fuelled by low interest rates, high house price inflation and low unemployment which has given consumers a considerable ‘feel good’ factor), as well as strengthening government spending. However, the current economic downturn, suggests that the boom and bust cycle has not been eradicated, with the Chancellor warning that the current downturn will be more prolonged than previously expected.

With a growing UK trade deficit and record levels of household debt, economic growth has been sustained by public and consumer spending during recent years. However, public spending had come under tighter control since the March 2004 budget, with the Chancellor previously announcing plans that by 2011/12 the Government would be running a surplus of £13 billion per year. However, with the current economic downturn and Government plans to significantly increase public borrowing, the budget deficit is set to rise strongly over the next years, and is now not expected to reach a balance until 2015/16. According to the 2008 Pre-Budget Report, the budget deficit, excludinginvestment, is now projected at 2.8% of GDP in 2008/09, at 4.4% in 2009/10, at 3.4% in 2010/11, at 2.3% in 2011/12, at 1.6% in 2012/13 and at 1% in 2013/14.

Latest figures reveal that there was a surplus on current budget of £8.4 billion in January 2009, compared with a surplus of £15.3 billion in January 2008. Between April 2008 and January 2009 of the financial year 2008/09, the public sector recorded a deficit of £42.5 million, up from a deficit of £7 billion recorded in the same period of the previous year.

The employment rate for people of working age was 74.1% for the three months ending December 2008, down 0.3% from the previous quarter and down 0.7% over the year. The number of people in employment was 29.36 million in the three months ending December 2008. The number of people in employment fell by 45 000 over the quarter and down 37 000 over the year.

The unemployment rate in the quarter to December 2008 was 6.3%, up by 0.4% over the previous quarter and up by 1.1% over the year. The number of unemployed people increased by 146 000 over the quarter and by 369 000 people during the year, reaching a level of 1.97 million people by the end of December 2008. This represents the highest number of people unemployed for 11 years.

Inflation

The CPI measures inflation each month in the European Monetary areas as a whole and individually measures and compares each Member State, enabling reliable comparisons of inflation rates across EU member states. In terms of commodity coverage, CPI excludes a number of items that are included in the RPIX such as council tax, mortgage interest payments, house depreciation, buildings insurance, estate agents and conveyancing fees. The CPI covers all private households, whereas the RPIX excludes the top 4% by income and pensioner households who derive at least three quarters of their income from state benefits. The CPI also includes the residents of institutional households such as student hostels and foreign visitors to the UK which will therefore incorporate university accommodation fees, foreign students university tuition fees, unit trust and stockbrokers fees.

Latest data for January 2009 indicates that annual inflation dropped to 3% compared with 3.1% in December 2008. The largest downward pressure came from transport costs where the price of fuel and lubricants fell in January A fall in car prices, lower costs of vehicle maintenance and repair and a decline in air fares also contributed to the downward effect. A further large downward contribution came from housing and household services. However, a large upward contribution came from recreation and culture, where the price of toys and games increased following heavy discounting in December. Many analyst expect CPI to further drop strongly over the coming months.

RPI inflation, which includes mortgage interest payments slowed to just 0.1% in January 2009, down from 0.9% in the previous month. There was a large downward contribution from housing with the main effect coming from mortgage interest payments and house price deprecation. RPIX, which excludes mortgage interest payments was 2.4% in January 2009 down from 2.9% in the previous month. Following the publication of the latest figures, analysts warned that Britain is now on the verge of deflation. However, the Bank of England believes that deflation in the UK will be short-lived if decisive action is taken.

As an internationally comparable measure of inflation, the CPI shows that the UK inflation rate in December, at 3.1%, was above the provisional figure for the European Union as a whole of 2.2%.

Interest Rates

The Bank of England is solely charged with meeting Government determined inflation levels, and interest rates are primarily reviewed to accommodate inflation targets.

In March 2009, the Bank of England cut interest rates by half a percentages point to 0.5%, a new all-time low. The latest rate cut is an attempt to boost the shrinking economy and encourage bank lending, which so far has not increased despite significant cuts in the base rate in recent months. In an attempt to boost bank lending, the Bank of England has also introduced quantitative easing, a process of increasing the amount of money in circulation. The bank will initially add £75 billion and use it to buy government bonds and corporate debt over the next three months to boost the flow of money in the economy. The bank has also been given permission by Alistair Darling to spend a total of £150 billion on asset purchases. The idea is that if the amount of money in the system is boosted, commercial banks will find it easier to lend. The Governor of the Bank of England believes hat this policy would “eventually work”.

The rate cut in March 2009, follows five rate cuts since October 2008, reducing the base rate significantly from 5%. The previous rate cuts were also aimed at steadying the faltering economy and improving the tight credit supply.

Prior to the rate cuts in 2008, in the period between August 2006 and July 2007, interest rates were increased five times from a level of 4.75% to 5.75%, in an attempt to control inflation. In the 12 months up to August 2006 interest rates were held at 4.5%, while in the 12 months to August 2005, interest rates were held at 4.75%.

In the Eurozone, the Europan Central Bank has cut its base rate four times since October 2008, with the latest cut in March 2009 taking the base rate to a historic low of 1.5%. Prior to that, the bank increased the base rate to 4.25% in July 2008, the highest level since it started setting Euro rates in January 1999.

Business Investment

Data from the ONS suggests that business investment for the fourth quarter of 2008 is estimated to be 3.9% lower than the previous quarter and 7.7% lower than the same period of last year.

The quarterly fall in business investment was due to reduced capital spending by industries classified within private sector and public sector non-manufacturing. There was also a contribution from reduced capital expenditure in manufacturing. Within private and public non-manufacturing industries, reduced investment of -3% was driven by private sector non-manufacturing other services, distribution services and construction. The reduced investment in manufacturing was driven by a reduction in private sector manufacturing.

Recent surveys such as the ICAEW UK BCM suggest that business confidence declined for a fourth consecutive quarter to reach its lowest level since the survey began. The survey suggests that the consumer and housing slowdown is set to create at the very least the most challenging business environment since the survey began and in all probability as far back as the 1990s.

The main rate of corporation tax was reduced from 30% to 28% in April 2008. The UK’s corporation tax rate is now lower than the G7 and EU15 average ensuring that the UK remains an attractive destination for foreign investment. The first-year capital allowances were replaced in April 2008 by an Annual Investment Allowance of £50 000 for all firms. This is to provide support for all businesses that are investing for growth. The tax credit for research and development rose to 175% for small firms and 130% for large companies. Small companies’ corporation tax increased from 19% to 20% in April 2007 to 21% in April 2008 and is set to reach 22% in April 2009. The Treasury states that this measure should reduce the differential between incorporated and unincorporated businesses and refocus investment incentives for small businesses. Trade sources suggest that on balance these measures should stimulate business investment in the future.

Market Factors
There are a number of factors that have influenced the development of the call centre market. These include:


economic strength

technology

legislation


While in theory the demand for call centres could be considered as being resistant to economic fluctuation, in practice, investment levels in such facilities tend to increase during periods of economic growth. Indeed, in line with other marketing expenditure, investment in call centres is typically one of the earliest sectors to experience cuts in expenditure as corporate profitability declines.

The pace of development in the market has been largely enabled by technological developments, particularly by the integration of telephone and computer software. This has created a number of opportunities for the market development for call centres. Indeed, inbound activity in some cases has been replaced by multimedia contact methods such as web self-service via the Internet. Consumer demand for Internet services has been facilitated by the provision of broadband services. According to Ofcom, by the end of 2007 there were an estimated 15.6 million broadband subscriptions in the UK. Thus, the Internet is increasingly becoming a customer service channel for businesses, as increasing numbers of consumers shop and access information online. Furthermore, there has been a rise in the number of consumers asking questions through Internet self-service systems to obtain information. However, this is increasingly at the expense of calling or Emailing call centres, as customers require faster responses.

An additional development in the call centres industry is voice over Internet protocol (VoIP). VoIP allows users to make voice calls via the Internet, and is said to be far more cost-efficient than traditional circuit switching, making it an attractive proposition for business users, particularly large corporations. The penetration of VoIP in terms of business usage is increasing, albeit at a slow rate.

In June 2007, Ofcom introduced a new regulatory code for VoIP users. The VoIP code makes it obligatory for VoIP providers to offer customers information which they may otherwise fail to mention. Thus, providers of IP telephony solutions must now inform customers whether or not their service requires the users home power supply, if it includes access to emergency services, how portable their number will be if they switch providers and what additional operator-type services are available.

The deregulation of the telecommunications sector in the UK is more advanced than in most other EU countries and, partly as a result the cost of phone calls in the UK, is one of the lowest in Europe. This has made the UK an obvious market for development in Europe.

The market is also affected by the legislative environment, particularly relating to the potentially sensitive area of data protection. The Data Protection Act, which came into effect in March 2000, restricts the amount of personal information that can be stored in an electronic system without the individual’s permission and this has potential consequences for the call centre industry.

In addition to the Data Protection Act, telemarketing companies have also been restricted by TPS, which is operated by the DMA. During the latter part of the 1990s, this was a voluntary scheme, but in June 1999 it received statutory backing. Under the scheme, telemarketers are required to check with the Service to find out which numbers are to be removed from lists in order to avoid contacting those who have requested not to be contacted by cold calling companies. This service also applies to customer service calls and those aimed at after sales service. Recent increases in applications to the TPS and to BT Privacy are expected to have a negative impact on outbound telemarketing. At present, more than half of UK households are registered with the TPS. Consequently, the number of outbound calls as a percentage of all calls has declined in recent years, from approximately 34% in 2004 to an estimated 29% in 2007. Furthermore, a number of telemarketers believe cold calling will not be economically viable after 2010.

As a result of legislation and consumer pressure, unsolicited outbound calling is in decline, with permission marketing taking its place. An increasing proportion of outbound calling is now to existing customers, delivering customer care and proactively informing them about events and products and services. Moreover, the DMA recommend best code of practice for outbound calling suggested the over-dial rate should be no higher than 5% in any 24-hour period.

However, in March 2006 UK telecom regulator Ofcom ordered new, more stringent rules to prevent ‘silent and abandoned’ telephone calls generated by automatic diallers run by telemarketing organisations. Such calls occur when automated calling systems used by call centres generate more calls than the available call centre agents can manage.

Ofcom’s three key requirements stipulate:


abandoned call rates must be below 3% in any 24 hours for each campaign

all abandoned calls must carry a short recording naming the source of the call

calling line identification (CLI) must be delivered so that 1471 will identify the calling company


Ofcom will take action to enforce the new rules where appropriate, including UK-based organisations using offshore call centres. In order to demonstrate compliance, records must be kept for a minimum of six months. If organisations are found to be in breach of the requirements, fines will be issued. Indeed, the Government announced the maximum fine Ofcom can impose for breach of the rules was increased from £5000 to £50 000, which came into effect towards the end of 2006. In January 2007, Ofcom imposed financial penalties for the first time on four companies found to be in breach of silent call guidelines. The statutory body issued penalty notices to Space Kitchens (£45 000), Bracken Bay Kitchens (£40 000), Carphone Warehouse (£35 000) and Toucan (£32 500). However, many call centres still deal predominantly with inbound calls and are therefore not restricted by such high levels of regulatory control.

It is difficult to quantify the number of silent or abandoned calls, but customer complaints offer one useful measure. At the beginning of 2006, BT reported that it was handling about 80 000 complaints a month about silent calls. Since June 2006, the company has been reporting around 30 000 complaints per month. NTL Telewest were reporting 60 complaints a month on silent calls in January 2006, but since June 2006 the company has been reporting around 30 complaints a month. Complaint levels to Ofcom's own contact centre increased from about 150 complaints a month in 2005, to an average of about 270 complaints a month since June 2006. However, this change may be partly explained by increased consumer awareness regarding silent calls.

Concern within the call centre industry regarding the Ofcom regulations predominantly centres around reduced productivity. Indeed, the Ofcom rules mean that call centres have to reset their diallers to make fewer calls for a given number of agents. Thus companies are concerned productivity will fall as the time gap between an agent completing a call and picking up another call will increase. However, ways in which to avoid this include; hiring more agents, improving processes and negotiating techniques in order to shorten call durations, extending opening hours, and improving performance and agent productivity through the use of technology. The last option is deemed the easiest option, in turn facilitating software development opportunities.

Furthermore, the regulations are believed to have had an effect on companies using predictive diallers (which are considered one of the best methods of outbound calling), as they have been charged for upgrades required for their systems to meet the new regulations, particularly in relation to CLI presentation. These rules are expected to have a negative impact on the call centre industry, as customers are increasingly aware of the regulations and are therefore likely to be unwilling to take calls from companies that do not comply. However, some industry players believe opportunities exist for companies to differentiate themselves from their peers. Indeed, the regulations are considered an opportunity for both in-house and outsourced call centres to improve the customer experience. For example, companies can inform customers they are approaching their credit limits or provide other such informational services, which can also present cross selling opportunities. Therefore, customers are expected to react more favourably to companies operating in an ethical manner.

Call centre companies have also faced growing costs of employment, as a result of the increasingly stringent EU enforced employment legislation. In particular, the rights of part time workers and the low paid have been increased, resulting in a greater financial burden for companies such as call centres, who are often reliant on the use of part time workers and whose wage levels are relatively low. Furthermore, as the call centre market continues to expand, this competition is forcing centres to improve working conditions and pay in order to attract and maintain staff.

A further factor that has encouraged market development in recent years is the increasing focus on cost control. The recession of the early 1990s resulted in office-based functions re-evaluating their activities and productivity. This in turn led to the outsourcing of many activities, including sales and marketing to lower cost bases such as call centres. These centres allowed the average working day to be extended at only marginal cost and offered enhanced productivity levels.

This trend was also accompanied by a general business move towards direct selling and marketing and away from brand-based advertising, partly due to the increased “noise” as a result of the fragmentation of the traditional advertising channels. Combined with a trend towards offering greater customisation of products, call centres provided an attractive communication channel between the customer and supplier.

Trade sources also identify a long term cultural change in the UK population which has become more open to a so-called “teleculture” which accepts the use of the telephone as a sales medium. This is in clear contrast to the view of the telephone in the 1980s. MBD believe that this change has been characterised by and reinforced by the growth in mobile telephone ownership.

The existence of call centres has also changed the nature of competition in many areas. Call centres have effectively lowered the market entry costs in many sectors, facilitating market diversification strategies. For example, call centres were central to the diversification of grocery and other retailers, such as Marks & Spencer, into financial services.


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